Mike Pompeo undermined America’s democracy in one press conference. There are some areas of concern for Democrats, however. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Get our newsletter in your inbox twice a week. I really need your help. A Quinnipiac University poll taken in late September found Harrison and Graham tied, while a CBS News poll taken in the same period found Graham to have a 1 percentage point lead. Gross, an independent backed by Democrats, had run close in some polls in the fall. In Alaska, the Times/Siena poll found independent Senate candidate Al Gross — who is running as the Democratic nominee — trailing incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan by about 8 percentage points, with third-party candidate John Howe’s support at 10 percent. Gross, an independent backed by Democrats, had run close in some polls in the fall. Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell — who is expected to win reelection in November — prizes his title as “Grim Reaper” of the US Senate. For every $25, it will decrease by one. In Alabama, where Democratic Sen. Doug Jones won an improbable victory against Republican Roy Moore in 2018, Republicans are favored to unseat the Democratic incumbent. Includes links to all 2020 Senate polls and polling averages by state. But overall, Democratic hopes of a Senate majority are looking up. BECKY BOHRER, Associated Press. In some states, this optimism is being reflected in spending. Alaska has elected one Democratic senator in four decades: Mark Begich, who served one term before losing to Sullivan in 2014. If you have already made a contribution to Vox, thank you. Georgia’s chief election official announces. How bad is your state’s Covid-19 outbreak? And if Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden takes office in January with McConnell still majority leader, marquee Democratic priorities — like health care, climate change, and voting rights — are likely dead on arrival. And the race in Michigan, where Democratic Sen. Gary Peters is up for reelection, is also shaping up to be competitive. That group, Senate Majority PAC, is reportedly so confident in Democratic Senate nominee John Hickenlooper, who is leading by a comfortable margin stretching into the double digits, it is moving funding it allocated for the state to other races. Joe Biden has won the presidency, toppling Donald Trump after four years of upheaval in the White House. The results of both elections won’t necessarily shake out the way polling suggests, but the fact Alaska and South Carolina are in play for Democrats underscores just how broad the Democratic path to a potential Senate majority has grown. That’s when things got weird. If you haven’t, help us keep our journalism free for everyone by making a financial contribution today, from as little as $3. In 2014, by comparison, Graham won reelection by more than 15 percentage points. America’s polarization problem is bigger than we thought it would be. Wait is on in Alaska Senate race as ballot count continues. How do we cover it when it’s happening here? In total, Cook Political Report’s Jessica Taylor says that Democrats could pick up as many as seven seats if everything breaks their way on November 3. © Copyright 2003-2020: Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved. Polls: Senate races in Alaska and South Carolina are surprisingly competitive for Democrats Cameron Peters 10/17/2020 Two men charged with gun offenses near Philadelphia vote counting center Live Updates: 2020 Elections. Cook also now rates South Carolina as an outright toss up, and Data for Progress found Harrison with a 2 percentage point edge over Graham in early October — again within the poll’s 3.5 percent margin of error. To gain the majority outright, Democrats need to pick up four seats in a chamber currently controlled by the GOP, 53 seats to 47 (including independent Sens. "There will be a smooth transition to a second Trump administration," Pompeo said. The original election projection website, since 2003, This year, I'm relying more than ever on readers to support Election Projection. That either Democratic candidate is even remotely close to their Republican rival with just 17 days until the election is striking. Millions of people rely on Vox to understand how the policy decisions made in Washington, from health care to unemployment to housing, could impact their lives. And in South Carolina, the Siena pollsters found that Senate Judiciary Chair Lindsey Graham continues to face a far closer race than expected, with Democrat Jaime Harrison just 6 percentage points behind his rival and riding a wave of momentum. Republican U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan on Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2020, won re-election in Alaska, defeating independent Al Gross. But despite Alaska’s strong Republican lean in presidential politics and most other major campaigns, it does have a history of electing independents and party-bucking Democrats, too, and the race between Sullivan and Gross appeared to grow surprisingly close. But there’s not much time left in the race, and the current state of affairs has many Democrats feeling confident about their chances at the Senate majority. Trump is the first one-term president in more than 25 years. Sparse public polling largely had Sullivan leading, often within the margin of error. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown. Even after the economy recovers, advertising alone will never be enough to support it. And other recent polls show much tighter races in both states. A Democratic super PAC dropped $4 million into the race, and Gross announced that his campaign raised $9 million in the final quarter of the campaign, a staggering sum for Alaska. The incredibly bizarre Dean Browning and “Dan Purdy” Twitter drama, explained. The 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. These current polling and fundraising successes have some Republicans sounding the alarm: Republican pollster David Flaherty told the Denver Post this week that “the train wreck and implosion of the president will bring a historic number of other Republican candidates down, and if you don’t believe that then you have your head in the sand.” And Texas Sen. Ted Cruz raised the specter of “a bloodbath of Watergate proportions” for his party on CNBC last Friday. Watch the state certifications, the state legislatures, and the courts. Sen. Dan Sullivan and challenger Al Gross, 2020. (Al Drago/Pool via AP, File) JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Republican U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan has won re-election in Alaska, defeating independent Al Gross in a race that attracted outside attention with control of the Senate at stake. 2020 Alaska Senate Polls 2020 Election Projections - Presidential Elections - Senate Elections - House Elections - Governor Elections To zip directly to the polls or projections for the races you are following, use the helpful "2020 Elections on Demand" tool at the top of the page. Data for Progress’s Sean McElwee recently told Vox’s Matthew Yglesias that it isn’t too late for campaigns to use large cash injections — meaning these large fundraising hauls could affect the final outcome of each race. Polls fall short again in 2020… As always, polls can be ephemeral — they’re a snapshot in time, not a forecast of how the race will shake out on Election Day. Polls: Senate races in Alaska and South Carolina are surprisingly competitive for Democrats. President Donald Trump’s polling numbers dipped in Alaska in the fall, and Gross was able to close the gap enough to draw national attention to the race — and attract unprecedented amounts of funding.
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